The latest forecasts of household formation rates for Guildford borough from the Department of Communities and Local Government [DCLG] plus the Office of National Statistics [ONS] updated population forecasts to 2021 show a lower future population for Guildford than previously estimated.  This might affect annual housing targets in the emerging Local Plan.


The new population estimates are being interpreted as indicating an annual housing need somewhere around the mid-400’s.  Recent local press headlines have quoted a slightly lower figure of 400 homes per annum. These compare starkly with the figures in the latest West Surrey Joint Strategic Housing Market Assessment [SHMA] produced by consultants GL Hearn, in the range of 610-800 new houses per year up to 2031.

Why such a significant difference?  The West Surrey Joint SHMA takes no account of the new ONS data due to differences in publishing dates but adds other contributing factors, particularly the aspiration for economic growth. The economic future being considered by the councils and M3 LEP is dominated by a forecast from employment and economic consultancy Experian that ramps up expectations of job growth.


Saturday the 16th - Published by Normandy Action Group, 166 Glaziers Lane, Guildford GU3 2EB - with thanks to Keith Witham, Surrey County Councillor - Hostgator Coupon Template